Dwarkesh Podcast

Dwarkesh Podcast

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Why I don’t think AGI is right around the corner
Continual learning is a huge bottleneck
 • Dwarkesh Patel
Andrej Karpathy — AGI is still a decade away
"The problems are tractable, but they're still difficult”
 • Dwarkesh Patel
2:25:19
Dario Amodei — "We are near the end of the exponential"
"That's why I'm sending this message of urgency"
 • Dwarkesh Patel
2:22:19
Jensen Huang – TPU competition, why we should sell chips to China, & Nvidia’s supply chain moat
“If our next several years are a trillion dollars in scale, we have the supply chain to do it"
 • Dwarkesh Patel
1:43:12
Ilya Sutskever — We're moving from the age of scaling to the age of research
“These models somehow just generalize dramatically worse than people. It's a very fundamental thing.”
 • Dwarkesh Patel
1:36:03
Notes on China
 • Dwarkesh Patel
Elon Musk — "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”
“Those who live in software land are about to have a hard lesson in hardware.”
 • Dwarkesh Patel
2:49:45
What fully automated firms will look like
Everyone is sleeping on the *collective* advantages AIs will have, which have nothing to do with raw IQ - they can be copied, distilled, merged, scaled…
 • Dwarkesh Patel
Satya Nadella — How Microsoft is preparing for AGI
Plus a tour of Fairwater 2, the most powerful AI datacenter in the world
 • Dwarkesh Patel
1:27:47
Will scaling work?
Data bottlenecks, generalization benchmarks, primate evolution, intelligence as compression, world modelers, and other considerations
 • Dwarkesh Patel
The most important question nobody's asking about AI
“Preface to the highest stakes negotiations in history.”
 • Dwarkesh Patel
24:38
Leopold Aschenbrenner — 2027 AGI, China/US super-intelligence race, & the return of history
The trillion dollar cluster...
 • Dwarkesh Patel
4:31:17
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