Dwarkesh Podcast

Dwarkesh Podcast

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Why I don’t think AGI is right around the corner
Continual learning is a huge bottleneck
 • Dwarkesh Patel
Andrej Karpathy — AGI is still a decade away
"The problems are tractable, but they're still difficult”
 • Dwarkesh Patel
2:25:19
Notes on China
 • Dwarkesh Patel
Ilya Sutskever – We're moving from the age of scaling to the age of research
“These models somehow just generalize dramatically worse than people. It's a very fundamental thing.”
 • Dwarkesh Patel
1:36:03
What fully automated firms will look like
Everyone is sleeping on the *collective* advantages AIs will have, which have nothing to do with raw IQ - they can be copied, distilled, merged, scaled…
 • Dwarkesh Patel
Will scaling work?
Data bottlenecks, generalization benchmarks, primate evolution, intelligence as compression, world modelers, and other considerations
 • Dwarkesh Patel
Questions about the Future of AI
Considerations about economics, history, training, deployment, investment, and more
 • Dwarkesh Patel
Thoughts on AI progress (Dec 2025)
Why I'm moderately bearish in the short term, and explosively bullish in the long term
 • Dwarkesh Patel
Thoughts on the AI buildout
Fab CapEx overhang, 1 GW a week, China privileged in long timelines, and much else
 • Dwarkesh Patel and Romeo Dean
Leopold Aschenbrenner — 2027 AGI, China/US super-intelligence race, & the return of history
The trillion dollar cluster...
 • Dwarkesh Patel
4:31:17
RL is even more information inefficient than you thought
And implications for RLVR progress
 • Dwarkesh Patel
Gwern — Anonymous writer who predicted AI trajectory on $12K/year salary
Legacy & Anonymity in the Age of AGI
 • Dwarkesh Patel
1:36:43
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