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8 Predictions for the Era of Continual Learning
Locking in AI safety regulation now is a mistake.
Aug 7
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Dwarkesh Patel
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22
16
8:37
Why smarter AI models could drive up compute prices 10x
The end of cheap compute?
Aug 3
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Dwarkesh Patel
66
8
5
11:17
The next big breakthrough will be AIs learning on the job
Labs are throwing away the most valuable data.
Jun 26
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Dwarkesh Patel
226
58
13
19:52
The data black hole at the center of AI
"We see these AIs as a galaxy glittering with capabilities, but at their center, invisible to the naked eye, holding all the constellations together, is…
Jun 19
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Dwarkesh Patel
65
18
9
11:56
Thoughts on AI progress (Dec 2025)
Dec 23, 2025
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Dwarkesh Patel
34
5
12:27
Why I don’t think AGI is right around the corner
An audio version of the original blog post
Jul 3, 2025
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Dwarkesh Patel
25
4
3
14:00
Why I don’t think AGI is right around the corner
Continual learning is a huge bottleneck
Jun 2, 2025
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Dwarkesh Patel
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170
Give AIs a stake in the future
Part 1 of Classical Liberal AGI
May 30, 2025
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Dwarkesh Patel
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14
14
Questions about the Future of AI
Considerations about economics, history, training, deployment, investment, and more
Apr 21, 2025
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Dwarkesh Patel
363
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49
What fully automated firms will look like
Everyone is sleeping on the *collective* advantages AIs will have, which have nothing to do with raw IQ: they can be copied, distilled, merged, scaled…
Jan 31, 2025
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Dwarkesh Patel
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Notes on China
Dec 27, 2024
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Dwarkesh Patel
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Dwarkesh Podcast Progress Update
"I was 2 months away from quitting the podcast for 2 years."
Aug 20, 2024
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Dwarkesh Patel
265
29
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