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Why I don’t think AGI is right around the corner
An audio version of the original blog post
Jul 3
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Dwarkesh Patel
21
4
14:00
Why I don’t think AGI is right around the corner
Continual learning is a huge bottleneck
Jun 2
•
Dwarkesh Patel
1,423
151
Give AIs a stake in the future
Part 1 of Classical Liberal AGI
May 30
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Dwarkesh Patel
83
14
Questions about the Future of AI
Considerations about economics, history, training, deployment, investment, and more
Apr 21
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Dwarkesh Patel
324
54
What fully automated firms will look like
Everyone is sleeping on the *collective* advantages AIs will have, which have nothing to do with raw IQ - they can be copied, distilled, merged, scaled…
Jan 31
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Dwarkesh Patel
488
74
Notes on China
Dec 27, 2024
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Dwarkesh Patel
856
104
Dwarkesh Podcast Progress Update
I was 2 months away from quitting the podcast for 2 years.
Aug 20, 2024
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Dwarkesh Patel
250
29
Will scaling work?
Data bottlenecks, generalization benchmarks, primate evolution, intelligence as compression, world modelers, and other considerations
Dec 26, 2023
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Dwarkesh Patel
345
50
Contra Marc Andreessen on AI
"The claim that you will completely control any system you build is obviously false, and a hacker like Marc should know that"
Jun 13, 2023
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Dwarkesh Patel
280
74
Lessons from The Years of Lyndon Johnson by Robert Caro
"Explore a single individual deeply enough and truths about all individuals emerge." - Robert Caro
May 3, 2023
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Dwarkesh Patel
180
28
The mystery of the miracle year
An interesting pattern recurs across the career of great scientists: an annus mirabilis (miracle year) in which they make multiple, seemingly…
Apr 14, 2022
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Dwarkesh Patel
205
15
Contra David Deutsch on AI
"The universal explainers hypothesis is incorrect because it cannot explain why some animals are smart and some humans are stupid."
Jan 17, 2022
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Dwarkesh Patel
34
8
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