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Why I don’t think AGI is right around the corner
An audio version of the original blog post
Jul 3
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Dwarkesh Patel
20
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4
14:00
Why I don’t think AGI is right around the corner
Continual learning is a huge bottleneck
Jun 2
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Dwarkesh Patel
1,421
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Why I don’t think AGI is right around the corner
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151
Give AIs a stake in the future
Part 1 of Classical Liberal AGI
May 30
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Dwarkesh Patel
83
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Give AIs a stake in the future
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14
Questions about the Future of AI
Considerations about economics, history, training, deployment, investment, and more
Apr 21
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Dwarkesh Patel
312
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Questions about the Future of AI
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54
What fully automated firms will look like
Everyone is sleeping on the *collective* advantages AIs will have, which have nothing to do with raw IQ - they can be copied, distilled, merged, scaled…
Jan 31
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Dwarkesh Patel
486
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What fully automated firms will look like
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74
Notes on China
Dec 27, 2024
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Dwarkesh Patel
855
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Notes on China
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104
Dwarkesh Podcast Progress Update
I was 2 months away from quitting the podcast for 2 years.
Aug 20, 2024
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Dwarkesh Patel
250
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Dwarkesh Podcast Progress Update
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29
Will scaling work?
Data bottlenecks, generalization benchmarks, primate evolution, intelligence as compression, world modelers, and other considerations
Dec 26, 2023
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Dwarkesh Patel
345
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Will scaling work?
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50
Contra Marc Andreessen on AI
"The claim that you will completely control any system you build is obviously false, and a hacker like Marc should know that"
Jun 13, 2023
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Dwarkesh Patel
280
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Contra Marc Andreessen on AI
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74
Lessons from The Years of Lyndon Johnson by Robert Caro
"Explore a single individual deeply enough and truths about all individuals emerge." - Robert Caro
May 3, 2023
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Dwarkesh Patel
179
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Lessons from The Years of Lyndon Johnson by Robert Caro
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28
The mystery of the miracle year
An interesting pattern recurs across the career of great scientists: an annus mirabilis (miracle year) in which they make multiple, seemingly…
Apr 14, 2022
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Dwarkesh Patel
204
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The mystery of the miracle year
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15
Contra David Deutsch on AI
"The universal explainers hypothesis is incorrect because it cannot explain why some animals are smart and some humans are stupid."
Jan 17, 2022
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Dwarkesh Patel
34
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Contra David Deutsch on AI
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