Sitemap - 2025 - Dwarkesh Podcast

Adam Marblestone — AI is missing something fundamental about the brain

Capital in the 22nd Century

Thoughts on AI progress (Dec 2025)

Sarah Paine — Why Russia Lost the Cold War

Thoughts on AI progress (Dec 2025)

Podcast Strategy Doc (December 2025)

Ilya Sutskever — We're moving from the age of scaling to the age of research

RL is even more information inefficient than you thought

Satya Nadella — How Microsoft is preparing for AGI

Sarah Paine — How Russia sabotaged China's rise

Thoughts on the AI buildout

Andrej Karpathy — AGI is still a decade away

Nick Lane – Life as we know it is chemically inevitable

Some thoughts on the Sutton interview

On The Vital Question by Nick Lane

Richard Sutton – Father of RL thinks LLMs are a dead end

Fully autonomous robots are much closer than you think – Sergey Levine

How Hitler almost starved Britain – Sarah Paine

Evolution designed us to die fast; we can change that — Jacob Kimmel

China is killing the US on energy. Does that mean they’ll win AGI? — Casey Handmer

Artificial meat is harder than artificial intelligence — Lewis Bollard

Sarah Paine — How Imperial Japan defeated Tsarist Russia & Qing China

Stephen Kotkin — How Stalin became the most powerful dictator in history

Why I don’t think AGI is right around the corner

On Kotkin's 2 volumes on Stalin - notes and questions

Sarah Paine 6 part July lecture series - free tickets for paid subscribers

A billion years of evolution in a single afternoon — George Church

Why China's manufacturing economy is dominating — Arthur Kroeber

"China is digging out of a crisis. And America’s luck is wearing thin." — Ken Rogoff

Why I don’t think AGI is right around the corner

Give AIs a stake in the future

Xi Jinping’s paranoid approach to AGI, debt crisis, & Politburo politics — Victor Shih

Is RL + LLMs enough for AGI? — Sholto Douglas & Trenton Bricken

What will automated firms look like?

Mark Zuckerberg — AI will write most Meta code in 18 months

Why Rome actually fell: plagues, slavery, & ice age — Kyle Harper

Questions about the Future of AI

AGI is still 30 years away — Ege Erdil & Tamay Besiroglu

AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo

Dwarkesh Patel Wants People to Learn Things

AMA: career advice given AGI, how I research ft. Sholto & Trenton

Joseph Henrich — Humans defeated smarter species with cultural evolution

Notes on China

Satya Nadella — Microsoft’s AGI plan & quantum breakthrough

Jeff Dean & Noam Shazeer — 25 years at Google: from PageRank to AGI

What fully automated firms will look like

Sarah Paine — How Mao conquered China (lecture & interview)

Sarah Paine — Why Japan lost WWII (lecture & interview)

Sarah Paine — The war for India (lecture & interview)

Tyler Cowen — The #1 bottleneck to AI progress is humans